Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 5.300057e-01 6.974501e-01 0.888671 1.120115 1.389603 1.690585 2.049221
2025-04-13 2.815793e-01 4.733844e-01 0.726437 1.070243 1.511081 2.044219 2.724353
2025-04-20 1.558342e-01 3.447011e-01 0.633878 1.070687 1.677794 2.458807 3.506164
2025-04-27 8.422536e-02 2.559988e-01 0.563663 1.077011 1.842017 2.876923 4.319681
2025-05-04 3.818066e-02 1.777638e-01 0.479075 1.037436 1.928071 3.190264 5.011651
2025-05-11 1.439631e-02 1.205194e-01 0.405307 0.992799 1.992154 3.468898 5.664725
2025-05-18 5.216813e-03 8.910737e-02 0.367740 0.998208 2.127541 3.850927 6.471578
2025-05-25 9.565619e-04 5.971614e-02 0.317254 0.965015 2.191301 4.125680 7.134128
2025-06-01 1.869509e-04 4.976634e-02 0.313720 1.023462 2.412167 4.645120 8.162523
2025-06-08 1.800881e-07 3.590859e-02 0.287801 1.027073 2.534427 5.015340 8.983534
2025-06-15 NaN 3.208618e-02 0.295938 1.108404 2.801339 5.621363 10.167151
2025-06-22 NaN 2.631303e-02 0.291593 1.158487 3.012464 6.144825 11.240158
2025-06-29 NaN 1.949487e-02 0.276587 1.181636 3.178858 6.610226 12.251492
2025-07-06 NaN 1.165447e-02 0.243549 1.150086 3.236459 6.900397 13.007029
2025-07-13 NaN 7.728527e-03 0.227703 1.161182 3.377953 7.333466 13.991173
2025-07-20 NaN 4.946985e-03 0.213606 1.173458 3.521307 7.773020 14.993966
2025-07-27 NaN 2.203969e-03 0.185530 1.134337 3.552990 8.022033 15.704676
2025-08-03 NaN 7.095327e-04 0.158435 1.088324 3.563638 8.232437 16.357050
2025-08-10 NaN 2.652220e-04 0.147403 1.094841 3.688808 8.645781 17.338256
2025-08-17 NaN 2.505922e-05 0.127338 1.059864 3.716362 8.885397 18.045262
2025-08-24 NaN 1.037889e-05 0.131197 1.122343 3.972322 9.541111 19.433194
2025-08-31 NaN 1.467245e-10 0.121795 1.126298 4.090911 9.951087 20.429937
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.130747 1.212903 4.410030 10.732718 22.041567